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Abstract This study seeks to characterize the development of atmospheric fronts during the extratropical transition (ET) of tropical cyclones (TCs) as a function of their evolution during ET. Composite histograms indicate that the magnitude of the lower atmospheric frontogenesis and average sea‐surface temperature is different based on the nature of the TC's structural change during ET. We find that the development of cold and warm fronts evolves as expected from conceptual models of extratropical cyclones. Composites of these fronts relative to the completion of ET show that azimuth, storm motion, and deep‐layer shear all appear to have equal influence on the frontal positions. TCs that have more fronts at the time of ET onset complete ET more quickly, suggesting that pre‐existing fronts before ET begins may contribute to a shorter ET duration. The orientations of fronts at ET completion in the North Atlantic and west Pacific align with the climatological distributions of the sea‐surface temperatures associated with the western boundary currents in each of those basins. These results provide a perspective on the locations of frontal development within TCs undergoing ET. 

Abstract This study compares the spread in climatological tropical cyclone (TC) precipitation across eight different reanalysis datasets: NCEP-CFSR, ERA-20C, ERA-40, ERA5, ERA-Interim, JRA-55, MERRA-2, and NOAA-20C. TC precipitation is assigned using manual tracking via a fixed 500-km radius from each TC center. The reanalyses capture similar general spatial patterns of TC precipitation and TC precipitation fraction, defined as the fraction of annual precipitation assigned to TCs, and the spread in TC precipitation is larger than the spread in total precipitation across reanalyses. The spread in TC precipitation relative to the inter-reanalysis mean TC precipitation, or relative spread, is larger in the east Pacific than in the west Pacific. Partitioned by reanalysis intensity, the largest relative spread across reanalyses in TC precipitation is from high-intensity TCs. In comparison with satellite observations, reanalyses show lower climatological mean annual TC precipitation over most areas. A comparison of area-averaged precipitation rate in TCs composited over reanalysis intensity shows the spread across reanalyses is larger for higher intensity TCs. Testing the sensitivity of TC precipitation assignment to tracking method shows that climatological mean annual TC precipitation is systematically larger when assigned via manual tracking versus objective tracking. However, this tendency is minimized when TC precipitation is normalized by TC density. Overall, TC precipitation in reanalyses is affected by not only horizontal output resolution or any TC preprocessing, but also data assimilation and parameterization schemes. The results indicate that improvements in the representation of TCs and their precipitation in reanalyses are needed to improve overall precipitation. 

Abstract Reanalysis datasets are frequently used in the study of atmospheric variability owing to their length of record and gridded global coverage. In the midlatitudes, much of the day-to-day atmospheric variability is associated with atmospheric fronts. These fronts are also responsible for the majority of precipitation in the midlatitudes, and are often associated with extreme weather, flooding, and wildfire activity. As such, it is important that identification of fronts and their associated rainfall remains as consistent as possible between studies. Nevertheless, it is often the case that only one reanalysis dataset and only one objective diagnostic for the detection of atmospheric fronts is used. By applying two different frontal identification methods across the shared time period of eight reanalysis datasets (1980–2001), it is found that the individual identification of fronts and frontal precipitation is significantly affected by both the choice of identification method and dataset. This is shown to subsequently impact the climatologies of both frontal frequency and frontal precipitation globally with significant regional differences as well. For example, for one diagnostic, the absolute multireanalysis range in the global mean frontal frequency and the proportion of precipitation attributed to atmospheric fronts are 12% and 69%, respectively. A percentage reduction of 77% and 81%, respectively, in these absolute multireanalysis ranges occurs, however, upon regridding all datasets to the same coarser grid. Therefore, these findings have important implications for any study on precipitation variability and not just those that consider atmospheric fronts. 

Abstract This study investigates Gulf Stream (GS) sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies associated with the extratropical transition (ET) of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the North Atlantic. Composites of western North Atlantic TCs indicate that GS SSTs are warmer, and both large‐ and fine‐scale SST gradients are weaker than average, for TCs that begin the ET process but do not complete it, compared with TCs that do. Further analysis suggests that the associated fine‐scale GS SST gradient anomalies are related to atmospheric processes but not the same as those that are typically associated with the onset of ET. As sensible heat flux gradients and surface diabatic frontogenesis are shown to generally scale with the local SST gradient strength, these results suggest that knowledge of the fine‐scale GS SST gradient in the weeks prior to the arrival of a TC might potentially provide additional information regarding the likelihood of that system completing ET. 

Abstract We describe a form of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) variability that we believe has not previously appeared in observations or models. It is found in an ensemble of eddy‐resolving North Atlantic simulations that the AMOC frequently reverses in sign at ∼35°N with gyre‐wide anomalies in size and that reach throughout the water column. The duration of each reversal is roughly 1 month. The reversals are part of the annual AMOC cycle occurring in boreal winter, although not all years feature an actual reversal in sign. The occurrence of the reversals appears in our ensemble mean, suggesting it is a forced feature of the circulation. A partial explanation is found in an Ekman response to wind stress anomalies. Model ensemble simulations run with different combinations of climatological and realistic forcings argue that it is the atmospheric forcing specifically that results in the reversals, despite the signals extending into the deep ocean. 

Recent results using wind and sea surface temperature data from satellites and high-resolution coupled models suggest that mesoscale ocean–atmosphere interactions affect the locations and evolution of storms and seasonal precipitation over continental regions such as the western US and Europe. The processes responsible for this coupling are difficult to verify due to the paucity of accurate air–sea turbulent heat and moisture flux data. These fluxes are currently derived by combining satellite measurements that are not coincident and have differing and relatively low spatial resolutions, introducing sampling errors that are largest in regions with high spatial and temporal variability. Observational errors related to sensor design also contribute to increased uncertainty. Leveraging recent advances in sensor technology, we here describe a satellite mission concept, FluxSat, that aims to simultaneously measure all variables necessary for accurate estimation of ocean–atmosphere turbulent heat and moisture fluxes and capture the effect of oceanic mesoscale forcing. Sensor design is expected to reduce observational errors of the latent and sensible heat fluxes by almost 50%. FluxSat will improve the accuracy of the fluxes at spatial scales critical to understanding the coupled ocean–atmosphere boundary layer system, providing measurements needed to improve weather forecasts and climate model simulations.